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Dr Paul Jones staff profile image

Dr Paul Jones

Senior Lecturer

Paul joined Leeds Business School in 2014. Paul is Senior Lecturer in the Economics, Analytics and International Business subject group. Paul is course leader for the BA International Business programme.

Dr Paul Jones staff profile image

About

Paul joined Leeds Business School in 2014. Paul is Senior Lecturer in the Economics, Analytics and International Business subject group. Paul is course leader for the BA International Business programme.

Paul joined Leeds Business School in 2014. Paul is Senior Lecturer in the Economics, Analytics and International Business subject group. Paul is course leader for the BA International Business programme. In addition to course leadership duties, Paul's role at Leeds Business School involves teaching on a range of economics modules, as well as personal tutorship and dissertation/thesis supervision at undergraduate and postgraduate level.

Prior to coming to Leeds Business School, Paul worked as a Senior Lecturer at Sheffield Hallam University and as an Associate Fellow at the Centre for Regional Economic and Social Research. Prior to this Paul worked as a Research Fellow at the Warwick Institute for Employment Research.

Research interests

Paul’s research expertise is in the area of Labour Economics. Paul has published papers and presented at various conferences in this area. Paul’s previous publications cover topics in the following areas:

  • Unemployment dynamics
  • Spatial and temporal change in labour markets
  • Job quality and typology
  • Health impacts of work

Paul’s current research efforts are focused on examining:

  • The changing pattern of hours worked in the UK
  • Patterns of employment ‘shocks’ by occupation and industry over recent years

Publications (19)

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Report

Trends and context to rates of workplace injury

Featured 2005 Health and Safety Executive
AuthorsDavies R, Jones PS
Report

Administrative data as a research resource: a selected audit

Featured 2006 A report to the ESRC Research Resources Board.
AuthorsJones PS, Elias P
Working Paper

Poor returns: winners and losers in the job market

Featured 06 October 2016 Equal Opportunities Commission Working Paper Series No. 52
AuthorsJones PS, Dickerson AP
Report

Migrant Workers in the East Midlands Labour Market

Featured January 2007 Institute for Employment Research, University of Warwick Publisher
AuthorsGreen A, Jones PS, Owen D
Report

The economic impact of migrant workers in the West Midlands

Featured 2007 Institute for Employment Research, University of Warwick Publisher
AuthorsGreen AE, Jones PS, Owen D
Report

Migrant Workers in the South East Regional Economy

Featured 2008 Institute for Employment Research, University of Warwick Publisher
AuthorsGreen AE, Owen D, Jones PS
Report

Labour Market Projections to 2014

Featured 2004 Future Skills Scotland. Scottish Enterprise
AuthorsDickerson A, Jones PS, Wilson R
Journal article

The impact of the business cycle on occupational injuries in the UK

Featured July 2009 Social Science & Medicine69(2):178-182 Elsevier BV
AuthorsDavies R, Jones P, Nuñez I

This paper investigates the cyclical fluctuations in rates of workplace injury for the UK from 1986 to 2005. Time series analysis shows that, in aggregate terms, the rate of minor injuries is pro-cyclical whilst the rate of major injury is not affected by the level of economic activity. Analysis by sector reveals that cyclical fluctuations are sharper in the construction and manufacturing sectors. Using panel data, we find that fluctuations in both the rates of minor and major injury are related to the level of new hiring and the ratio of actual to usual hours worked. However, only minor injuries are related to variables that control for workers' bargaining power. The analysis demonstrates the importance of both compositional effects and individual reporting behaviour to understanding cyclical variations in workplace injury rates. © 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Journal article

A PICTURE OF STOCK–FLOW UNEMPLOYMENT IN THE UNITED KINGDOM

Featured September 2010 Macroeconomic Dynamics14(4):427-453 Cambridge University Press (CUP)
AuthorsColes MG, Jones P, Smith E

Stock–flow job matching implies that there are two types of job seekers—those on the short side of their occupations who can easily find work, and those on the long side who expect extended unemployment spells. Using matching data and information on completed and uncompleted unemployment spells for England and Wales, this paper uses the stock–flow matching hypothesis to identify the fraction (incidence) of laid off workers who find themselves on the long side of the market and, conditional on being on the long side, their expected unemployment duration. The average incidence is around one-half and increases significantly in recessions. The expected duration is also strongly countercyclical—peaking at 15 months in the 1990–1992 recession and falling to a more modest 9 months by January 1999. Cross-section estimates also identify a North–South divide and a large city effect—the unemployed in large cities and in the North experience longer spells.

Journal article

Rural Development and Labour Supply Challenges in the UK: The Role of Non-UK Migrants

Featured December 2009 Regional Studies43(10):1261-1273 Informa UK Limited
AuthorsGreen AE, De Hoyos M, Jones P, Owen D

Green A. E., De Hoyos M., Jones P. and Owen D. Rural development and labour supply challenges in the UK: the role of non-UK migrants, Regional Studies. Characteristic features of the demographic structure of rural areas in the UK include net out-migration of young adults and an older than average age profile. These features pose a labour supply challenge for rural areas. However, many rural areas are experiencing in-migration (from other parts of the UK and overseas) and there has been considerable policy emphasis on capturing the skills of migrants to enhance local economic development. To date, the role of non-UK migrants in rural areas has received relatively little attention. This paper discusses the impact of recent growth in the numbers of international migrants on the economy and labour market of rural areas and considers the opportunities and risks for rural development posed by increasing reliance on non-UK migrants in the workforce. © 2009 Regional Studies Association.

Journal article

The Quantity and Quality of Jobs: Changes in UK Regions, 1997–2007

Featured October 2009 Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space41(10):2474-2495 SAGE Publications
AuthorsJones PS, Green AE

In debates about employment creation there is increasing concern about the quality as well as the quantity of jobs. The authors examine the regional distribution of workplace employment in the UK using the ‘quality of jobs’ framework. Findings reveal evidence of marked regional differences in average ‘job quality’, with the gap between regions growing over the decade from 1997, and the focus of high-quality job creation biased towards already advantaged regions. There is evidence of increased job polarisation across most UK regions. The analyses suggest an important role of the public sector in providing high-quality jobs, particularly outside London and the South East.

Journal article

Job Creation and Regional Change under New Labour: A Shift-Share Analysis

Featured June 2012 Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space44(6):1348-1362 SAGE Publications

The paper examines changes in UK regional employment during the period of the New Labour administration, 1997–2010, with the Blair and Brown administrations considered separately. The paper employs a shift-share analysis of workplace employment data by industry and subregion, using annual data from the UK Labour Force Survey. The results reveal significant regional shifts, with interesting spatial dynamics in and around the capital and resilient employment growth in the provinces.

Journal article

Emerging productive economies: Local restructuring in England and Wales, 1998–2012

Featured September 2013 Local Economy: The Journal of the Local Economy Policy Unit28(6):596-613 SAGE Publications

There are pronounced differences in the productivity of local economies in England and Wales, with some areas thriving whilst others struggle with a legacy of de-industrialisation. This article relates productivity differentials to industry and occupation structure. Doing this facilitates the extrapolation of a metric for ‘productive employment base’ at local authority level. Using this measure, progress is examined for local authority areas in England and Wales during the period 1998–2012. Maps are produced of local areas making greatest gains. These are termed ‘emerging productive economies’.

Journal article

The transition to a highly qualified workforce

Featured June 2008 Education Economics16(2):127-147 Informa UK Limited
AuthorsBosworth D, Jones P, Wilson R

Globalization is putting increasing pressure on jobs in the United Kingdom, particularly among less skilled activities. The European response through the Lisbon Strategy has been diffuse, while UK policy appears much more focused, concentrating on the need to raise education and skill levels. The present paper examines the transition towards a more highly qualified workforce in the United Kingdom, including an assessment of probable future developments given recent trends towards greater participation in higher education. It describes two complementary forecasting exercises, whereby a stock-flow model is used to produce UK-wide estimates and, then, a multi-logit equation is used to disaggregate these forecasts by region. The result is a set of estimates of the likely developments in the pattern of qualification attainment across the different parts of the United Kingdom, running through to 2014. It focuses upon the numbers of individuals broken down by level of qualification, gender, age and region. These forecasts suggest that, based on past trends (and consistent with meeting government targets), there will be substantial increases in the numbers and proportions of more qualified individuals and corresponding reductions among the less qualified. Further policy initiatives that may result from the Leitch Review are likely to further accentuate these changes.

Journal article

Local workplace employment and the quality of jobs framework

Featured 29 July 2009 People, Place and Policy Online3(2):92-108 Sheffield Hallam University

There is an increasing recognition that it is qualityas much as quantity of employment which is important in assessing the positions and progress of local economies. Not least of all in light of the Lisbon Strategy and Leitch Report which emphasise world class skills and the knowledge economy. The paper details how the so called ‘Quality of Jobs’ framework can be adapted to local area data to produce consistent estimates of local area ‘job quality’ through time, based on Census, Annual Population Survey and Labour Force Survey sources. The methodology is described and local area estimates shown for illustration.

Report

Science, Engineering and Technology and the UK’s Ethnic Minority Population

Featured April 2005 The Royal Society. London Publisher
AuthorsJones PS, Elias P
Report

Future Skills Scotland: Labour Market Projections for Scotland.

Featured 2006 Institute for Employment Research, University of Warwick
AuthorsJones PS, Wilson R
Report

Estimating the Impact of a Minimum Wage on the Labour Market Behaviour of 16 and 17 Year Olds

Featured 2004 Low Pay Commission (LPC)
AuthorsDickerson AP, Jones PS
Journal article
Are we working less? An examination of Changing UK Labour supply decisions since the 1990s
Featured 01 May 2020 Journal of Economic Studies48(1):35-61 Emerald
AuthorsJones P, Nasir M-A

The desire to substitute leisure for work as we grow richer is anticipated in the work of Becker and was famously predicted by Keynes. With reference to the UK from 1994q2 to 2015q2, this study examines labour supply decisions with respect to earnings and considers whether we are willing or indeed able to work less. We specifically focus on the three points of time i.e. beginning of the sample, pre and post Global Financial Crisis. The results suggest that we are far from income-satiated. The elasticity of hours worked with respect to earnings is stubbornly inelastic and for some demographic cohorts positive, implying the desire to work more. We find that job flexibility matters in facilitating reduced hours of work, but that jobs are not becoming more flexible. We do see a secular reduction in hours worked, accompanied by a shift to working later in life, but these appear to be down to factors other than higher wages.

Current teaching

Paul is Module Leader for the following modules:

  • Business, Government and Competition
  • Economics for Business Enterprise

Paul teaches on various modules, primarily on the BA in Business Economics course.

Teaching Activities (1)

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Research Award Supervision

Institutional Quality in LDC

09 February 2015

Lead supervisor